Direct Lenders in the US is in Good Shape Post-COVID-19
After a turbulent and difficult phase, US direct lenders moved into 2021 with a better reputation and teams which are well-equipped to finance new projects. It’s impossible to talk about direct lending in America without the US without casting a bigger net to see how it compares, how to direct installment loan on Bridge payday?
Based on the data of Preqin and examined by McKinsey the world’s private debt financing (where direct lending accounts for the largest portion of capital) diminished to 6.7 percent during the past year, in the year to US$124.4 billion in 2020. This was in COVID-19. This saw investors put their commitments to expand their funding on hold. It is worth noting that the North American market, however, was not able to follow the same pattern as the rest of the world, seeing private debt funding grow by 15.8 percent in the last year, to US$79.8 billion.
Despite the outbreak and the soaring demand for private debt, the market has benefited from the long-term trends in regulation following the worldwide financial crises of 2008, according to McKinsey. The changes in regulation that came after the crisis has strained the lending capabilities of banks which allowed direct lenders that were not bank-owned with a possibility to expand their market share and expand their reach. Long periods of lower interest rates and a moderate monetary policy have been a factor in the growth of direct lending.
The private credit portfolios are thought to be less affected by the risk of pandemics. Because the private debt assets don’t get traded on the marketplace and are held in closed-ended funds, they aren’t as susceptible to market volatility.
The notion is further confirmed by a research note for Q1-2021 from the trading platform for private markets Adams Street, finding that the private default rate on a debt has never exceeded the limit of 2 percent in 2020. However leveraged and high yield loans default rates on bonds were about 4-10 percent and 4-percent, respectively.
US investor Nuveen says that due to the absence of liquidity on the market for private credit investments is not liquid, the people in the industry have taken an approach that is more cautious to managing risk. Contrary to high-yield lenders, such as leveraged and bond investors who are able to sell assets that aren’t performing. Private credit managers utilize “buy-and-hold” techniques. This has resulted in their preference to finance deals in the asset-light sector, as well as defensive.
In addition, private credit managers generally deal with borrowers that are secured by private equity (PE) firms that have specific knowledge of specific industries. They offer an additional security layer to guard against negative consequences.
Private-debt funds have proved not only to be efficient in decreasing the risk of a downside. Managers continue to generate investors’ profits. According to Adams Street, private debt funds have average yields of 7 percent. This is in comparison to the median that is between 4.73 percent in bonds that have a high yield, to 4.61 percent on loans that have leverage.
As the US economy has started to rebound, Direct lenders have shifted their attention and resources on deals that are brand new and are likely to keep attracting new deals as well as provide higher yields than other fixed-income categories.
According to Nuveen, The pipeline of transactions open for private management companies appears to be promising. The dry powder ratio held by PE firms (the largest owners of the private lending capital) against private debt funds is 5:1. As the private markets in M&A deals are generally constructed with debt levels ranging from 50 to 75 percent of capitalization, this ratio for dry powder owned by PE debt to PE dry powder has to be adjusted from 1:1 and 1:4 before any likelihood of market saturation for private debt. The post-pandemic supply and demand dynamic continues to favor the management of private debt.
Additionally, Nuveen’s analysis shows that, despite the fact that the COVID-19 downswing could differ from other downturns that have occurred in the economy, private credit vintages of debt that begin in recessions typically have outperformed other years, with both 2001 and 2009. These are among the top-performing private debt years from their history up to today.
The increase in the number of assets owned in private loans has led to direct lenders being competent in competing with credit markets that might otherwise have defaulted to the high yield or syndicated loan bond market.
Direct lenders may be capable of digesting credit amounts that exceed US$1 billion or form lending organizations which cover checks that are larger than 3 billion dollars.
Direct lending has proved to be a viable option for borrowers, specifically PE sponsors, partly due to the speed with the speed at which transactions are processed indirect lending transactions as well as the fact that the price and other terms relevant to direct lending transactions that aren’t subject to alter due to market flexibilities.
Additionally, PE sponsors appreciate the simplicity of working with one or a small lender instead of a broader collection of lenders in the syndicated leveraged loan.
The fact that they are competing with syndicated loans and bonds with high yields has meant direct lenders have to raise the cost they offer their customers. They also must at times lend under covenant-lite terms. This , until now, has not been a part of the documents for direct lending in the middle-market core.
The ongoing selection of credit and PE-backed borrowers provided by direct lenders and the massive amount of liquidity available and the capacity of their portfolios following the onset of the pandemic they are in a good position to expand their portfolios and accept ever-growing amounts of loans in the months ahead.